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Videos:
Demo,
Details
Low-Noise Momentum Signals
A momentum strategy's performance depends on its ability
to extract trend signals from noisy market data. Our
low-noise signal processing algorithms employ the
cross-disciplinary sciences of both Matched Filter
Theory and Differential Signal Processing, which are the
same technologies that enable WiFi, USB, iPhones, and
remotely controlled rovers on Mars to perform so well.
Simply put, cleaner momentum signals lead to better
decisions.
See Momentum Heat Map
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Videos:
Intro,
Details
StormGuard
Risk mitigation is a complex problem.
Diversification's passive risk dilution is just the
start. Research shows that risk avoidance is the most
proficient way to reduce risk. Particularly, avoidance
of momentum laggards and bear markets. StormGuard
assesses market risk using four key metrics: Trend,
Momentum, Sentiment, and Volatility, and a dozen other
confirmation indicators. Together they form a superb
Bull-Bear indicator and trigger Bear Market
Strategies.
See StormGuard Charts
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Video: Details
Dual Defense: Backstops
StormGuardTM acts as
the first line of defense when market momentum fails.
TrendGuardTM acts as a second line of defense by
incorporating a Defensive Backstop to compete directly
with the Model's candidate funds for momentum leadership
by providing a performance floor in case the candidate
funds begin performing poorly separate from the broader
market. It's like having a guard dog at the front door
and a guard dog at the back door to avoiding loss.
See Dual Defense Details
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Videos:
Bear Demo
Bear Market Strategies
When our StormGuard market direction indicator signals
that market conditions have become bearish, its
integrated Bear Market Strategy automatically takes
charge and substitutes a set of defensive fund
candidates in place of the equity fund candidates
employed during a bull market. Bear Market Strategies
then select the momentum leader from among their
defensive candidates, such as a variety of bond,
treasury, and commodity funds.
See
Bear Market Strategies
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Videos:
FWPT
Genetic-Algo,
Hindsight Bias Removal
We remove hindsight bias in two ways:
• Forward-Walk Progressive-Tuning
FWPT tunes the momentum filter with
prior data for use only in the future.
Evaluations use out-of-sample data.
• Genetic Algorithm - Merlyn.AI®
A Genetic Algorithm evolves sets
of
momentum strategy candidate ETFs
based on past performance and uses
them only with out-of-sample data.
See Investopedia
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